UN Projects Global Economic Growth of 2.7 Percent in 2026 Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

The United Nations (UN) has released its latest global economic outlook, projecting global economic growth at 2.7 percent in 2026. This forecast reflects a slight slowdown compared to previous years, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and heightened global economic uncertainty.

According to UN economists, the deceleration is influenced by several key factors, including United States tariff policies, global trade dynamics, and persistent geopolitical risks. Nevertheless, global growth is expected to gradually recover, reaching 2.9 percent in 2027 after growing by 2.8 percent in 2025.

Despite the positive outlook, the projected growth remains below the pre-pandemic average annual growth of 3.2 percent recorded between 2010 and 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic is considered to have left lasting structural impacts on the global economy.

UN Secretary-General António Guterres highlighted that the world is undergoing significant transformation due to the combined pressures of economic, geopolitical, and technological changes. These developments are creating new economic uncertainties and increasing social vulnerabilities worldwide.

The report also underscores the resilience of the global economy amid tariff shocks and external pressures, supported by strong consumer spending and easing inflation. However, the UN cautioned that downside risks remain and called for continued vigilance and strengthened international cooperation to safeguard global economic stability.

Source: IDX Channel